Omicron in Decline?
Here's Hoping!
I follow the NY Covid-19 infection rates for the State, NY City, and Manhattan on the NY Forward Dashboard. I was very happy to see the decline in the numbers this past week and decided to post some information from specific days in the two winter surges.
Last Year 1.4.2021 NYS 8.3% NYC 6.9% Manhattan 3.3% Approx Peak
1.15.2021 NYS 5.8% NYC 5.1% Manhattan 3.1%
2.15,2021 NYS 5.0% NYC 5.5% Manhattan 3.9%
5.29.2021 NYS 0.6% NYC 0.4% Manhattan 0.3% Approx Nadir
10.15.2021 NYS 2.4% NYC 1.2% Manhattan 0.9% Nadir Pre-Surge
11.26.2021 NYS 4.7% NYC 2.2% Manhattan 2.1% Omicron Announced
12.27.2021 NYS 19.3% NYC 19.6% Manhattan 17.5%
This Year 1.2.2022 NYS 23.4% NYC 22.7% Manhattan 18.6% Peak Numbers
1.13.2022 NYS 16.3% NYC 14.3% Manhattan 10.7%
These numbers for the infection rate were posted by New York testing sites almost since the beginning of the pandemic and I followed them on a daily basis. In late December 2021 the state was testing from 300,000 - 400,000 people per day - and an unknown number of patients were doing rapid tests at home. The surge in December and January were unprecedented. comparing the case numbers to the winter surge in 2020-21. Each day I was shocked to see how fast the infection rate was rising. On 12/25 the omicron variant was 85.4% and on Jan 1st it was 98%. In the 1.12 graph I discussed it is clear that the rapid rise in cases in NYC was in the unvaccinated people. The rapid DECREASE IN CASE NUMBERS now can give us hope that this infection rate will continue to plumet as in South Africa.